"In some areas that relied on natural immunity, we do know that omicron is associated with a high rate of reinfection, so having had COVID naturally without vaccines may not be as protective."Ĭhin-Hong added: "At this point we do not know enough about this variant to confirm that it is really the true cause of the increase in cases in South Africa or merely associated via a local superspreading event. "With a high vaccination rate in the Bay Area keeping people from getting serious disease, hospitalization and death, it is likely that our hospital resources will continue to be protected, but this may not be true in all parts of California (like the Central Valley) and all parts of the US," Chin-Hong said. The region's high vaccination rate is especially likely to prevent a dramatic increase in hospitalizations and deaths, they said. Q: Could omicron spur a holiday surge in the Bay Area?Ī: Experts agree omicron is much less likely to spur a holiday surge in the well-vaccinated San Francisco Bay Area than in other parts of the state, country and world that have lower vaccination rates. "First, there is a lot of travel between countries in Southern Africa (primarily South Africa), and second, only about 5-10% of positive cases are sequenced at any time in the US and it takes 2-3 weeks to come back." "I would not be shocked if it is already in the Bay Area for several reasons," Chin-Hong wrote in a message. "Therefore, I think it could be in the Bay Area and it is easy enough to detect since one of our main PCR tests can find it without genomic sequencing so the Bay Area will start looking now." "When a highly transmissible respiratory virus is found in multiple countries, as Omicron has been found, it is usually everywhere," Gandhi wrote in an email. Q: Is the omicron variant in the Bay Area?Ī: The consensus among the UCSF experts was that the omicron variant is either already here or, if it's not, it will be here soon. "Īll three experts said the best thing Bay Area residents can do in response to omicron's worldwide spread is get vaccinated.
While scientists around the globe are racing to learn more about omicron, Rutherford said, "The preliminary news from South Africa is is associated with milder disease. The underlying message from all three was that San Francisco Bay Area residents don't need to panic or cancel plans because of the variant. To answer questions, SFGATE checked in with three UC San Francisco experts: infectious diseases experts Dr. Usage will be monitored.The omicron variant of the coronavirus that spurred a new wave of cases in South Africa is popping up in a growing number of countries including Canada.Īs news of this newest variant spreads and countries introduce a cascade of travel bans, Bay Area residents may be wondering how this latest development in the pandemic may impact them. in any jurisdiction where their offer or sale is not qualified or exempt from registration.
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